A 10 percent chance of winning, which is what our forecast gives Trump, is roughly the same as the odds that it’s raining in downtown Los Angeles. And it does rain there.— FiveThirtyEight gives its final polling prediction. An almost certain win for Biden, but…
Walmart has ended its experiment with a shelf-scanning robot it had tried out in around 500 stores. The Bossa Nova Robotics machine crawled down the aisles and logged price tag details, stocking and so on. From the Wall Street Journal:
Walmart ended the partnership because it found different, sometimes simpler solutions that proved just as useful, said people familiar with the situation. As more shoppers flock to online delivery and pickup because of Covid-19 concerns, Walmart has more workers walking the aisles frequently to collect online orders, gleaning new data on inventory problems, said some of these people. The retailer is pursuing ways to use those workers to monitor product amounts and locations, as well as other automation technology, according to the people familiar with the situation.
It may be tempting to paint this as a setback for robotics in the grocery space — but I’d caution against that. The Bossa Nova machine — which I saw for myself at a Walmart in Bentonville, Arkanas — was an inelegant solution. It was slow, stopped dead at the mere sign of interruption, and was, to put it simply, just in the way — whether for customers walking around, or human workers trying to get at the shelves.
Robotics in groceries means rethinking the store itself, not designing robots to replicate human behaviour. Here’s a much more likely scenario from Massachusetts-based Alphabot, which is also working with Walmart:
A cyberattack in Louisana, targeting small government offices, in the weeks leading up to the election:
The situation in Louisiana follows a similar case in Washington state, according to a cybersecurity consultant familiar with the matter, where hackers infected some government offices with a type of malware known for deploying ransomware, which locks up systems and demands payment to regain access.
A troubling pattern, though one that likely has little do with the election. The disgracefully outdated infrastructure found in government IT across the US (and indeed most of the world) has been to blame for largely untargeted attacks taking down public sector networks. Last year, I reported on a crippling attack on Baltimore.
But that’s not to say this story, and others like it, shouldn’t add to our concerns about the integrity of this upcoming election. The discussion around security usually focuses on the voting machines themselves. But experts will tell you the concern lies with access to voter databases. A ransomware attack could mean heavy disruption. It wouldn’t change votes, it would just slow down an already overburdened system. Targeted or not, the end result is the same.
Keep a close eye on the vote for Prop 22, the gig economy’s fight to keep its workers as contractors. It’s arguably more interesting here, in deep blue California, than the presidential contest. Latest polling, via San Jose Mercury News:
The poll found that 46% of likely voters said they would vote yes [pro Uber/gig economy cos] on the measure, while 42% said they would vote no and 12% said they were undecided. In a sign that the blitz of ad spending is having at least some impact, a mid-September poll on the measure found only 39% of voters on the yes side and 36% in opposition, with a quarter undecided. Republicans are more likely to support Prop 22, while Democrats are more likely to reject it. And while voters in most regions of the state support it, the poll shows the measure trailing by 20 points in the San Francisco Bay Area.
It needs 50% to pass. The spending blitz — $200m for the “yes” campaign, versus $20m for “no” — should see it home, if precedent is to go by. The five previous mega-money battles in the state all followed the cash’s wishes. The limited polling we have suggests the Yes campaign has been picking up many of the undecideds in the past couple of weeks. Via Ballotpedia:
But, there are nerves at Uber over the wording on the ballot. For less informed voters, it may be the first description they’ll see — and it paints an ugly picture. It reads: “EXEMPTS APP-BASED TRANSPORTATION AND DELIVERY COMPANIES FROM PROVIDING EMPLOYEE BENEFITS TO CERTAIN DRIVERS.”
TechCrunch reports $10.7m in Series A funding for Linktree, a company that exists partly due to Facebook’s infuriating disrespect for the open web.
Linktree allows users to set up a simple, mobile-friendly list of links to their various personal spaces on the web, be it social network, personal website, YouTube channel, merchandise shop, whatever. It’s a smart response to the likes of Instagram refusing to allow links to the outside web to be efficiently shared within its posts. It also serves as as a useful buffer for sending users to places not necessarily endorsed by the networks they’re communicating on. TikTok, for instance, is much more comfortable with TikTok > Linktree > OnlyFans than a direct link.
Eight million users, the company says — a modest start but one that will grow. Obvious but delicate monetisation awaits (they’ve already started a $6 per month “pro” plan). Linktree isn’t alone in the space. Carrd, a competitor, tilts more towards business-creative. Its CEO, “AJ”, summed up the model nicely in an interview with the Verge: “I just need a site with links to all my crap.”
I like this attitude. I think it points to a trend among newer internet users to using a spread of online tools and destinations, rather than flocking to one and giving it immense power.
“While debunking or fact-checking are valuable, they aren’t going to move someone who feels a sense of significance through absorbing and promoting esoteric but baseless theories.”Travis View, host of QAnon Anonymous podcast, speaking to NYT’s Charlie Warzel
This is the heart of the matter when it comes to conspiracy theories and today’s distrust in media.
Two forces at play. Number one: the sense of belonging in our isolated world is a powerful force, whether it’s flat earthers, QAnon fanatics, angry “gamergaters”, whoever. Many of these people would have previously gravitated towards sports or other interest-based communities — they’re now instead finding their social needs fulfilled (in a flawed sense) by conspiratorial groups. The social web has driven “fandom” to dark places.
Number two: Once the collective filter is in place — “the media is lying to you” — every fact presented can be written off incredibly easily. Experts become the “Deep State”, opposition protests become Soros-funded. These people don’t lose touch with reality, they just put a filter on it that strengthens their own position. Whenever the media makes a genuine mistake, as can happen, the assuredness becomes even more entrenched.
DoorDash has invested in Burma Bites, a spin-off from Burma Superstar, the much-loved Bay Area mini chain. From SFChronicle’s Justin Phillips:
DoorDash declined to specify how much money it is investing in Burma Bites, but Georgie Thomas, head of regional merchant partnerships at the San Francisco delivery company, said in an email that COVID-19 “has accelerated the need for merchants” to establish their online presence in the Bay Area. Thomas said investing in Burma Bites is a way for the company to take its mission of increasing delivery sales for restaurants during the pandemic one step further.
It’s the latest move from DoorDash to put down some more brick and mortar roots — this follows opening its own grocery dark stores, and setting up a dark kitchen down near its HQ in Redwood City.
Early on in the pandemic I wrote a piece that described Amazon as America’s new Red Cross. A story I came across today underlines that point. How many other ecommerce players make the news when deliveries are slow? From CBS LA:
Residents in two Ventura County cities say their Amazon Prime service has suddenly become sluggishly slow without explanation.
Rosalinda Rodriguez of Moorpark is paralyzed from the chest down. Though she uses a wheelchair to get around, she relies on delivery services like Amazon for convenience and safety.
“I am at high risk if I do contract coronavirus because I do have a spinal cord injury,” Rodriguez said.
She pays $119 a year for an Amazon Prime membership so she can get her orders in one to two days. But about a month ago, her amazon deliveries suddenly slowed.
“So now if I try to place an order it will take anywhere from seven to 10 days,” she said.
There was a time when “seven to 10 days” was something of an ecommerce miracle. Now, anything beyond one or two days, and Amazon is held up as putting people’s health — life! — at risk. Amazon wouldn’t tell CBS LA why deliveries had slowed, but did say it was seeking to increase capacity in the area.
“Expensify depends on a functioning society and economy; not many expense reports get filed during a civil war.”David Barrett, CEO of Expensify, in an email to all users in which he urged them to vote for Joe Biden.
It’s a shame that Jeff Bezos has hidden himself away from media interviews in the last few years, instead favouring the set piece, highly-controlled “fireside chat”.
I say a shame because he’s clearly an engaging man. I’m sure Amazon’s at-times prickly PR team wishes they could put him on camera more often. Here’s a nice moment from a 60 Minutes airing back in 1999, doing the rounds today on Twitter:
Over the course of around three hours on Tuesday, more than 700,000 people checked out Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s debut on Amazon’s Twitch. Or, in other words:
I’ve had the discussion many times about what happens when popular streamers decide they want to go into politics. We’ve seen it with some members of the alt-right.
Much more interesting, though, is what happens when politicians decide they want to go into streaming. There’s small window here: too much gaming will reflect badly on the country’s most in demand congressperson in a district that needs all of her attention. But still, grasping these platforms unlocks an entire generation of voter.